Do supply chains for equipment and minerals constrain quantum computing leadership?
Core argument: Dilution refrigerators needed to cool many quantum computers are produced largely by a few small companies in the U.S., Britain and Finland, while Chinese media announced mass production of a homegrown dilution refrigerator.
Most quantum systems require intense cooling. Today, the dilution refrigerators that are needed to cool many types of quantum computers are largely produced by a few small companies in the U.S., Britain and Finland. Chinese media recently announced mass production of a homegrown dilution refrigerator. Beijing is not leaving this to chance. Quantum computing will require greater use of certain exotic materials. The risks of relying on China for rare earths and critical minerals, many of which are required for quantum systems, have become clear. Depending on which specific quantum technologies mature, we may need more of the critical mineral niobium, which today is found almost exclusively in Brazil. China’s already begun buying up niobium mines. Tantalum, another important material for some quantum systems, is largely produced in Nigeria, Rwanda and the Democratic Republic of the Congo, and mostly processed in China. Quantum computing may still sound like science fiction, but the scale-up phase is approaching. The race is now about supply chains as much as science and engineering.


