Edward Conard

Top Ten New York Times Bestselling Author

  • “Unintended Consequences offers deep and well-argued analyses on almost every issue.” - The New York Times
  • “…a must-read for serious students of economic policy.” - Glenn Hubbard, Dean, Columbia Business School, and former Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers
  • “…challenges misconceptions that distort our economic debates.” - Arthur Brooks, President of the American Enterprise Institute
  • “…reminds us that inequality sends a signal of what society lacks most, in America’s case, entrepreneurship and risk taking.” - Lawrence Lindsey, CEO, The Lindsey Group, former Director of the National Economic Council
  • “Unintended Consequences provides a provocative interpretation of the causes of the global financial crisis and the policies needed to return to rapid growth. Whether you agree or not, this analysis is well worth reading.” - Nouriel Roubini, New York University; Chairman, Roubini Global Economics
  • “…challenges misconceptions that distort our economic debates.” - Arthur Brooks, President of the American Enterprise Institute
  • “…reminds us that inequality sends a signal of what society lacks most, in America’s case, entrepreneurship and risk taking.” - Lawrence Lindsey, CEO, The Lindsey Group, former Director of the National Economic Council
  • “…serious thinking for serious thinkers. …a thought-provoking blueprint for growing middle- and working-class incomes.” - Mitt Romney, former Governor of Massachusetts
  • “Unintended Consequences represents the most cogent and persuasive analysis of the Financial Crisis to date.” - Andrei Shleifer, 1999 John Bates Clark Medal Winner
  • “Unintended Consequences is far smarter and more thought-provoking than most economics written for the general public” - Greg Mankiw, Harvard University, Former Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisors
  • “…a fresh argument for the productive value of inequality.” - David Autor, Professor of Economics, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
  • “There are an amazing number of good ideas and interesting points made in Unintended Consequences. The thinking underlying it, and the obvious depth of understanding of the author, are very impressive.” - Steven Levitt, coauthor of Freakonomics; 2004 John Bates Clark Medal
Upside of Inequality Oxford Unintended Consequences

AI Summary. New York City Police Department figures show 4,858 major crimes with a minor accused or arrested in the most recent year, up 37% from 3,543 seven years earlier, with robberies and felony assaults continuing to rise. Police officials attribute the increase to a state law diverting most 16- and 17-year-old defendants from adult courts.

Maria Cramer New York Times
Date Posted:
Is Database:
Database

Btw 2017 and 2023, major crimes in NYC committed by perpetrators < 18 surged 37%. Kevin O’Connor, a retired assistant commissioner warns, "These are the future adults. What are these kids going to be like when they’re 20 or 25 years old?"

Does diverting teen defendants from adult courts increase youth crime?

Core argument: New York City recorded 4,858 major crimes in which a minor was accused or arrested last year, up 37% from 3,543 in 2017, according to Police Department figures.

The number of people under 18 accused of major crimes has increased sharply in New York City in the past seven years, Police Department figures show. Last year, there were 4,858 major crimes where a minor was accused or arrested, up from 3,543 in 2017 — a 37% increase. The seven index crimes are murder, rape, robbery, felony assault, burglary, grand larceny and grand larceny of automobiles. Many of the crimes have continued to increase dramatically in 2024, particularly robberies and felony assaults. Through Oct. 1, there were arrests for 969 felony assaults and 2,019 robberies, a 17% increase from the same time last year. Until recently, the criminal justice system in New York treated many young people accused of serious crimes as adults. But in 2017, when youth crime had fallen to lows not seen for decades, legislators in Albany changed the way the cases of 16- and 17-year-olds were handled, passing a law known as “Raise the Age.” Police officials in New York said the law, which diverted most cases of 16- and 17-year-old defendants from adult courts to Family Court or to judges with access to social services and special training, was at the root of the crisis.

Takeaways by Macro Roundup® AI

  1. New York City recorded 4,858 major crimes in which a minor was accused or arrested last year, up 37% from 3,543 in 2017, according to Police Department figures.
  2. New York City police made arrests for 969 felony assaults and 2,019 robberies through Oct. 1, a 17% increase from the same period a year earlier.
  3. New York police officials said the 2017 "Raise the Age" law, which diverted most cases of 16- and 17-year-old defendants from adult courts to Family Court or to judges with social services access and special training, was at the root of the crisis.

Related Articles:

  • It’s Time to Talk About America’s Disorder Problem — A meta-analysis of 56 studies found that disorder policing consistently reduces crime, but that indiscriminate "aggressive order maintenance" arrests did not significantly reduce crime while problem-oriented strategies targeting specific sources of disorder often had sizable effects without spillovers. The authors note that a large share of disorder comes from a small number of people and places.
  • The Collapse of Broken-Windows Policing in New York City, Los Angeles, and Washington, DC, 2013–22 — Arrests for minor "broken-windows" offenses—counted as misdemeanors, violations, and infractions per 100,000 residents—fell 74% in New York, 77% in Washington, DC, and 81% in Los Angeles over the period studied, declining steadily in New York and Los Angeles.
  • Criminal Victimization, 2023 — The U.S. rate of violent victimization — including rape or sexual assault, robbery, aggravated assault, and simple assault — was 22.5 per 1,000 persons age 12 or older, statistically unchanged from the prior year and from five years earlier. The rate declined over the prior three decades from 79.8 per 1,000.
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