Edward Conard

Top Ten New York Times Bestselling Author

  • “…a comprehensive explanation of the modern economy.” - Julian Robertson, Founder, Tiger Management
  • “Unintended Consequences represents the most cogent and persuasive analysis of the Financial Crisis to date.” - Andrei Shleifer, 1999 John Bates Clark Medal Winner
  • “…a comprehensive explanation of the modern economy.” - Julian Robertson, Founder, Tiger Management
  • “…a very valuable contribution.” - Larry Summers, former Secretary of the Treasury and director of the National Economic Council, president emeritus, Harvard University
  • “…reminds us that inequality sends a signal of what society lacks most, in America’s case, entrepreneurship and risk taking.” - Lawrence Lindsey, CEO, The Lindsey Group, former Director of the National Economic Council
  • “…serious thinking for serious thinkers. …a thought-provoking blueprint for growing middle- and working-class incomes.” - Mitt Romney, former Governor of Massachusetts
  • “…a fresh argument for the productive value of inequality.” - David Autor, Professor of Economics, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
  • “…reminds us that inequality sends a signal of what society lacks most, in America’s case, entrepreneurship and risk taking.” - Lawrence Lindsey, CEO, The Lindsey Group, former Director of the National Economic Council
  • “Unintended Consequences should be read by anyone who takes for granted the superiority of progressive taxation and has not thought carefully about the trade-offs involved.” - The New Republic
  • “…challenges misconceptions that distort our economic debates.” - Arthur Brooks, President of the American Enterprise Institute
  • “…serious thinking for serious thinkers. …a thought-provoking blueprint for growing middle- and working-class incomes.” - Mitt Romney, former Governor of Massachusetts
  • “…a very valuable contribution.” - Larry Summers, former Secretary of the Treasury and director of the National Economic Council, president emeritus, Harvard University
Upside of Inequality Oxford Unintended Consequences

AI Summary. In the United States, between one in four and one in three Black men eventually serve prison time, compared with one in seven Hispanic men and roughly one in fifteen non-Hispanic white men. In Denmark, about 9% of men of Danish origin and 27% of men of non-Western origin have a criminal conviction by age 24.

Inquisitive Bird Patterns In Humanity
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“There are still more criminals than you might expect.” 6.2% of white American men, 14.4% of hispanic men, and 26% of black men born in 1991 will have been imprisoned by the time they turn 50.

How large a share of men have criminal records?

Core argument: One in four to one in three black men in the United States eventually end up in prison, compared with one in seven Hispanic men and about one in fifteen non-Hispanic white men.

People don’t end up in prison for trivialities. Prison, as opposed to jail, is designed for long-term incarceration—prison sentences in the United States are rarely shorter than a year. Jails are where people are held while awaiting trial or sentence, or while serving short sentences. As the figure shows, one in four to one in three black men eventually end up in prison. The same is true for one in seven Hispanic men, and about one in fifteen (non-Hispanic) white men. If we consider all crimes under the Danish criminal code, which includes a larger number of offense types but still excludes minor traffic offenses, the number of criminals increases markedly. We also see large ethnic disparities. By age 24, about 9% of men of Danish origin and 27% of men of non-Western origin have been convicted under the criminal code. In summary, while it is certainly true that a large share of crime is committed by a small number of persistent offenders, there are still more criminals than you might expect.

Takeaways by Macro Roundup® AI

  1. One in four to one in three black men in the United States eventually end up in prison, compared with one in seven Hispanic men and about one in fifteen non-Hispanic white men.
  2. In Denmark, about 9% of men of Danish origin and 27% of men of non-Western origin have been convicted under the criminal code by age 24, a measure that excludes minor traffic offenses.
  3. U.S. prisons, unlike jails, are designed for long-term incarceration with sentences rarely shorter than a year, while jails hold people awaiting trial or sentence or serving short sentences.

Related Articles:

  • The Great Crime Paradox — Just over half of violent crime victims know the perpetrator and have been attacked before, and much of it occurs away from public view, while snatch theft is almost always committed in public by a stranger against a first-time victim. Shoplifting erodes the sense of public order through visible security measures and locked merchandise.
  • The Collapse of Broken-Windows Policing in New York City, Los Angeles, and Washington, DC, 2013–22 — Arrests for minor "broken-windows" offenses—counted as misdemeanors, violations, and infractions per 100,000 residents—fell 74% in New York, 77% in Washington, DC, and 81% in Los Angeles over the period studied, declining steadily in New York and Los Angeles.
  • Number of Young People Accused of Serious Crimes Surges in New York City — New York City Police Department figures show 4,858 major crimes with a minor accused or arrested in the most recent year, up 37% from 3,543 seven years earlier, with robberies and felony assaults continuing to rise. Police officials attribute the increase to a state law diverting most 16- and 17-year-old defendants from adult courts.
Showing 72 database articles primarily about Poverty/Crime