Are the youngest men drifting away from liberal politics?
Core argument: Donald Trump won 41% of men aged 18–29 in 2020, and the author expects him to improve on that showing in 2024, coming close to or winning an outright majority of young male voters.
I’m inclined to believe that Trump will do well with young men in 2024; certainly, he is likely to improve on his 2020 performance, when he won 41% of men aged 18 to 29. And if he does not win an outright majority of young male voters, he will probably come close. In a poll conducted by the Survey Center on American Life this fall, men ages 18 to 24 were far less likely to identify as feminist and liberal than those ages 25 to 29. Early partisan attachments are malleable, but there’s a good reason to believe that the worldview of young men is less aligned with the current values and priorities of Democrats. Compared to their female peers, young men have very different views about how the world treats women. Regardless of the election’s outcome, the trajectories of young men and women appear less aligned than perhaps they have ever been. The political consequences of this growing divergence will be immediate, but the societal repercussions may be felt for years.

