Are American startups now driving job growth as established firms shed jobs?
Core argument: U.S. business formation applications hit a record 5.5m last year, and despite slowing slightly this year, the monthly average remains about 80% above the pre-covid decade, versus a 20% rise in Europe.
Last year applications to form businesses reached 5.5m, a record. Although they have slowed a touch this year, the monthly average is still about 80% higher than during the decade prior to covid, compared with just a 20% rise in Europe. Startups normally play an outsized role in creating employment in America, as elsewhere. By definition, every startup job counts as new, whereas mature companies have more churn. That difference has become even starker. In the four years before the pandemic, established firms added one net job for every four created by startups; in the four years since the pandemic, established firms have actually lost one job for every four created by startups.

