Are oil production cuts failing to lift prices?
Core argument: Saudi Arabia is cutting 1m barrels a day and Russia 300,000 b/d, with the rest of OPEC+ together contributing another 3.7m b/d in cuts.
Saudi Arabia and Russia are leading the way, with cuts of 1m barrels a day and 300,000 b/d respectively; the rest of OPEC+ is together contributing another 3.7m b/d in cuts. Recent oil-price drops reflect both expectations of slowing global demand, influenced by concerns over China’s economy, and the fact that geopolitical risk has fallen: few now expect the war in Gaza to turn into a broader regional conflict. At the same time, other producers, including America, Brazil, and Guyana, have increased output, making up for OPEC+ cuts.

