Is the Republican candidate leading in Sun Belt battleground states?
Core argument: Trump leads Harris 50% to 45% in Arizona, a state Biden carried by just over 10,400 votes in 2020, according to the poll.
Arizona, which Mr. Biden won by just over 10,400 votes in 2020, now presents a challenge for the Harris campaign. Mr. Trump is ahead, 50% to 45%, the poll found. In North Carolina, which Mr. Trump won by under 75,000 votes in 2020, the former president has a slim lead over Ms. Harris, drawing 49% of the vote compared with 47% for Ms. Harris. In Georgia, a state that Mr. Biden won by just under 11,800 votes in 2020, Mr. Trump continues to have a slight lead over Ms. Harris, 49% to 45%. The margin of error in each state is between four and five percentage points.

