The Global Con Hidden in Trumps Tax Reform Law, Revealed
- Date Posted:
- Is Database:
- Database
@Brad_Setser The global distribution of corporations’ offshore profits remains largely unchanged, with over half still booked in low-tax nations. The TCJA has not effectively altered the incentives for booking profits offshore.
Breaking rule to show you this op-ed from Brad Setser as I suspect it's going to make a big splash
"...But now that a full year has passed since the tax bill became law, we have hard numbers we can evaluate. For starters, the law’s repatriation deal did prompt a brief surge in offshore profits returning to the United States. But the total sum returned so far is well below the trillions many proponents predicted, and a large chunk of the returned funds have been used for record-breaking stock buybacks, which don’t help workers and generate little real economic activity...... The global distribution of corporations’ offshore profits — our best measure of their tax avoidance gymnastics — hasn’t budged from the prevailing trend. Well over half the profits that American companies report earning abroad are still booked in only a few low-tax nations — places that, of course, are not actually home to the customers, workers and taxpayers facilitating most of their business. A multinational corporation can route its global sales through Ireland, pay royalties to its Dutch subsidiary and then funnel income to its Bermudian subsidiary — taking advantage of Bermuda’s corporate tax rate of zero....The scale of the tax shifting has become so immense that some economists believe curbing it could raise reported G.D.P. by well over a percentage point— something Mr. Trump, who’s been absorbed by opportunities to brag about the economy, should notionally welcome...."
Brad Setser, "The Global Con Hidden in Trump’s Tax Reform Law, Revealed,"New York Times, February 6, 2019, https://www.nytimes.com/2019/02/06/opinion/business-economics/trump-tax-reform-state-of-the-union-2019.html



