Edward Conard

Top Ten New York Times Bestselling Author

  • “…a must-read for serious students of economic policy.” - Glenn Hubbard, Dean, Columbia Business School, and former Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers
  • “…a comprehensive explanation of the modern economy.” - Julian Robertson, Founder, Tiger Management
  • “There are an amazing number of good ideas and interesting points made in Unintended Consequences. The thinking underlying it, and the obvious depth of understanding of the author, are very impressive.” - Steven Levitt, coauthor of Freakonomics; 2004 John Bates Clark Medal
  • “…a must-read for serious students of economic policy.” - Glenn Hubbard, Dean, Columbia Business School, and former Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers
  • “…serious thinking for serious thinkers. …a thought-provoking blueprint for growing middle- and working-class incomes.” - Mitt Romney, former Governor of Massachusetts
  • “Unintended Consequences represents the most cogent and persuasive analysis of the Financial Crisis to date.” - Andrei Shleifer, 1999 John Bates Clark Medal Winner
  • “Unintended Consequences should be read by anyone who takes for granted the superiority of progressive taxation and has not thought carefully about the trade-offs involved.” - The New Republic
  • “…a very valuable contribution.” - Larry Summers, former Secretary of the Treasury and director of the National Economic Council, president emeritus, Harvard University
  • “Unintended Consequences is full of substance, it is one of the must-read books of the year, and once I finish it I will be giving it a second read through right away.” - Tyler Cowen, Professor, George Mason University
  • “Unintended Consequences offers deep and well-argued analyses on almost every issue.” - The New York Times
  • “Unintended Consequences is far smarter and more thought-provoking than most economics written for the general public” - Greg Mankiw, Harvard University, Former Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisors
  • “…a fresh argument for the productive value of inequality.” - David Autor, Professor of Economics, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Upside of Inequality Oxford Unintended Consequences

AI Summary. US population growth is concentrating in suburban counties rather than urban cores: Texas's Harris and Dallas counties gained residents through international migration and births while losing tens of thousands to domestic outmigration, as surrounding suburban counties recorded large domestic inflows. Census Bureau data show 65.3% of US counties grew, with large suburban counties expanding fastest.

Aziz Sunderji Home Economics
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.@AzizSunderji argues that US “population growth is increasingly concentrated in suburban counties surrounding major metropolitan areas, not in the urban cores themselves,” particularly Sunbelt suburbs.

Are suburban counties outgrowing urban cores in US population growth?

Core argument: Harris County (central Houston) gained 101,126 residents through international migration and 35,833 through natural increase while losing 31,165 to domestic outmigration, and Dallas County added 47,564 internationally and 19,625 naturally while losing 47,168 domestically.

Population growth is increasingly concentrated in suburban counties surrounding major metropolitan areas, not in the urban cores themselves. In Texas, for example, our county-level analysis shows striking differences between urban core counties and their suburbs: Harris County (central Houston) gained 35,833 residents through natural increase and 101,126 through international migration, but lost 31,165 to domestic outmigration. Dallas County (central Dallas) added 19,625 through natural change and 47,564 internationally, but lost a substantial 47,168 domestically. But both of these cities are ringed by fast-growing suburban counties: Kaufman County (Dallas suburbs) saw modest natural growth (1,447) and international migration (588), but explosive domestic in-migration (9,158) – representing nearly 5% of its population in a single year. Montgomery County (Houston suburbs) gained 3,956 through natural increase, 6,480 internationally, and a staggering 23,919 domestically (3.34% of its population). This suburban preference is consistent throughout the country. Census Bureau data shows 65.3% of all U.S. counties grew last year, with large suburban counties showing the fastest rates of expansion.

Takeaways by Macro Roundup® AI

  1. Harris County (central Houston) gained 101,126 residents through international migration and 35,833 through natural increase while losing 31,165 to domestic outmigration, and Dallas County added 47,564 internationally and 19,625 naturally while losing 47,168 domestically.
  2. Kaufman County in the Dallas suburbs gained 9,158 domestic in-migrants, nearly 5% of its population in a single year, against 1,447 from natural growth and 588 internationally.
  3. Census Bureau data show 65.3% of U.S. counties grew last year, with large suburban counties expanding fastest; Montgomery County outside Houston added 23,919 domestic migrants, 3.34% of its population.

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  • Young Families Have Continued Leaving Big Cities Post-Pandemic — Large urban counties have continued to lose population of young children even as their overall population growth resumed, driven by immigration. Birth rates in large urban counties have declined twice as fast as in rural counties over the past decade, and the number of children under five fell in 58% of all US counties.
  • Snow Belt to Sun Belt Migration: End of an Era? — The correlation between US county population growth or net migration and historical extreme heat and cold days has declined over roughly the past 50 years, and in 2010–2020 was essentially zero. The authors argue this pivoting is likely to continue and reverse the 20th-century Snow Belt to Sun Belt migration pattern.
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