Edward Conard

Top Ten New York Times Bestselling Author

  • “There are an amazing number of good ideas and interesting points made in Unintended Consequences. The thinking underlying it, and the obvious depth of understanding of the author, are very impressive.” - Steven Levitt, coauthor of Freakonomics; 2004 John Bates Clark Medal
  • “…a comprehensive explanation of the modern economy.” - Julian Robertson, Founder, Tiger Management
  • “…a very valuable contribution.” - Larry Summers, former Secretary of the Treasury and director of the National Economic Council, president emeritus, Harvard University
  • “…challenges misconceptions that distort our economic debates.” - Arthur Brooks, President of the American Enterprise Institute
  • “…serious thinking for serious thinkers. …a thought-provoking blueprint for growing middle- and working-class incomes.” - Mitt Romney, former Governor of Massachusetts
  • “Unintended Consequences is far smarter and more thought-provoking than most economics written for the general public” - Greg Mankiw, Harvard University, Former Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisors
  • “A full-throated defense of economic dynamism.” - The Wall Street Journal
  • “…a fresh argument for the productive value of inequality.” - David Autor, Professor of Economics, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
  • “…a very valuable contribution.” - Larry Summers, former Secretary of the Treasury and director of the National Economic Council, president emeritus, Harvard University
  • “…a must-read for serious students of economic policy.” - Glenn Hubbard, Dean, Columbia Business School, and former Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers
  • “…a fresh argument for the productive value of inequality.” - David Autor, Professor of Economics, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
  • “Unintended Consequences offers deep and well-argued analyses on almost every issue.” - The New York Times
Upside of Inequality Oxford Unintended Consequences
Buy the Books
  • Macro Roundup
  • About Roundup
  • About Ed Conard
  • Highlights
  • Topics
  • Subscribe
Edward Conard
  • twitter
  • facebook
  • linkedin
  • youtube

Macro Roundup

  • Email
  • Text Message (SMS)
  • Twitter/X
  • LinkedIn
  • Facebook
  • WhatsApp Message
Subscribe to Macro Roundup Emails
Select topics to choose: articles that mention them (broader) or articles mainly about them (focused)
  • Mentions 0
  • Primary focus 0
Showing all 7,309 Macro Roundup articles
When you search for any topic (like GDP, Inflation, or Banking), choose:
Choose search scope

Monday, July 11, 2022

How Much Does Education Improve Intelligence?

AI Summary. A meta-analysis of 142 effect sizes from 42 data sets covering over 600,000 participants finds that an additional year of education is associated with a gain of roughly 1 to 5 IQ points. The authors report this association across multiple cognitive abilities, across the lifespan, and in three quasi-experimental designs.

Stuart Ritchie Science
Date Posted:
July 11, 2022
Is Database:
Database

Education boosts intelligence by 1-5 IQ points per year, according to a meta-analysis of 142 effect sizes from 42 data sets involving over 600,000 participants.

How much does an additional year of education raise IQ?

Core argument: A meta-analysis of 142 effect sizes from 42 data sets covering more than 600,000 participants finds an additional year of education is associated with a gain of roughly 1–5 IQ points.

A comprehensive meta-analysis of 142 effect sizes from 42 data sets involving over 600,000 participants reveals that an additional year of education is consistently associated with a gain of approximately 1 to 5 IQ points. This effect persists across various cognitive abilities and throughout the lifespan, highlighting education as a robust method for enhancing intelligence. The analysis utilized three quasi-experimental designs: control prior intelligence, policy change, and school-age cutoff, each demonstrating significant educational impacts on cognitive outcomes. For instance, the school-age cutoff design showed an average increase of 5.229 IQ points per additional year of education. These findings underscore the economic implications of investing in education as a means to boost cognitive skills, which are crucial for workforce productivity and economic growth.

Takeaways by Macro Roundup® AI

  1. A meta-analysis of 142 effect sizes from 42 data sets covering more than 600,000 participants finds an additional year of education is associated with a gain of roughly 1–5 IQ points.
  2. The school-age cutoff design yielded an average increase of 5.229 IQ points per additional year of education, one of three quasi-experimental designs alongside control of prior intelligence and policy change, each showing significant educational effects on cognitive outcomes.
  3. The estimated education effect persists across various cognitive abilities and throughout the lifespan, underscoring the economic implications of investing in education to boost cognitive skills relevant to workforce productivity and economic growth.

Summery, “…Intelligence test scores and educational duration are positively correlated. This correlation could be interpreted in two ways: Students with greater propensity for intelligence go on to complete more education, or a longer education increases intelligence. We meta-analyzed three categories of quasi-experimental studies of educational effects on intelligence: those estimating education-intelligence associations after controlling for earlier intelligence, those using compulsory schooling policy changes as instrumental variables, and those using regression-discontinuity designs on school-entry age cutoffs. Across 142 effect sizes from 42 data sets involving over 600,000 participants,we found consistent evidence for beneficial effects of education on cognitive abilities of approximately 1 to 5 IQ points for an additional year of education.Moderator analyses indicated that the effects persisted across the life span and were present on all broad categories of cognitive ability studied. Education appears to be the most consistent, robust, and durable method yet to be identified for raising intelligence….”

Stuart Ritchie and Elliot Tucker-Drob, "How Much Does Education Improve Intelligence? A Meta-Analysis,"Psychological Science, 2018, https://labs.la.utexas.edu/tucker-drob/files/2019/08/Ritchie-Tucker-Drob-2018-Psych-Science-How-Much-Does-Education-Improve-Intelligence.pdf

“….Table 2 shows the results from each study design after the inclusion of multiple moderators. We included as many moderators as possible for each design, though we chose to include the “achievement” categorization of the outcome test for the school-age-cutoff design (instead of the alternative categorization involving composite, fluid, and crystallized tests, which we used for the other designs) because it had such a substantial effect in the single-moderator model. Including multiple moderators reduced the τ statistic—to a larger degree for the control-prior-intelligence design than for the others— though significant heterogeneity remained in all cases. The moderators that were individually significant (e.g., age in the control-prior-intelligence design or achievement tests in the school-age-cutoff design) were also significant in the multiple-moderator model, indicating that their effects were incremental of the other moderators that we included….”

“…We tested whether studies that included only male participants showed a differential educational effect. This was not the case for control prior intelligence (effect for the 2 male-only estimates: 2.261 IQ points, SE = 0.897, p =.012; effect for 24 mixed-sex estimates: 1.027 IQ points, SE = 0.110, p = 6.79×10−21; difference SE = 0.905, p =.173), or for policy change (effect for the 8 male-only estimates: 1.683 IQ points, SE = 0.507, p =.001; effect for 22 mixed-sex estimates: 2.215 IQ points, SE = 0.788, p =.005; difference SE = 0.941, p =.572). There were no male-only school-age-cutoff studies….”

Multiple moderators.

“….Splitting the outcome cognitive tests into three broad categories—composite, fluid, and crystallized tests—we tested whether the category moderated effect sizes. For the control-prior-intelligence design, there were stronger educational impacts on composite tests (1.876 IQ points, SE = 0.467, p = 5.94×10−05) than on fluid tests (0.836 points, SE = 0.097, p =.152), and the difference between composite and fluid was significant (1.039 points, SE = 0.496, p =.036).There was only one crystallized outcome test for the control-prior- intelligence design (1.893 points, SE = 0.348, p = 5.34×10−08), so we did not include it in the moderator comparison here. For the policy-change design, there were significant effects for both composite (2.314 IQ points, SE = 0.869, p =.008) and fluid (2.272 points, SE = 0.765, p =.003) but not crystallized (1.012 points, SE = 1.125, p =.368) tests; however, the effects on the three different categories were not significantly different from one another (all difference p values >.35). Finally, for the school-age-cutoff design, there were significant effects of a year of education on composite (6.534 points, SE = 2.433, p =.007), fluid (5.104 points, SE = 0.621, p = 2.05×10−16), and crystallized (5.428 points, SE = 0.170, p = 1.04×10−223) tests; there were, however, no significant differences between effect sizes across outcome types (difference p values >.5). We then split the outcome tests into “achievement” tests versus “other” tests. There was only one achievement test in the control-prior-intelligence design, so we did not run this analysis. For policy change, there was no significant difference in the educational effect on the 7 achievement tests (2.760 IQ points, SE = 0.968, p =.004) versus the 23 other tests (1.784 points, SE = 0.553, p =.001; difference SE = 1.011, p =.334). However, for school-age cutoff, which had the largest proportion of achievement tests (38 of the 86 tests were classed as achievement tests), achievement tests showed a substantially and significantly larger educational effect (6.231 points, SE = 0.339, p = 2.85×10−75) than other tests (3.839 points, SE = 0.412, p = 1.11×10−20; difference SE = 0.371, p = 1.19×10−10)….”

Male-only studies.

Outcome test category.

“…Figure 1 shows the effect sizes in the first two study designs as a function of the participants’ mean age at the outcome test. For the control- prior-intelligence studies, outcome age was a significant moderator: The effect size of education declined by −0.026 IQ points per year of age (SE = 0.012, p =.029). At the youngest age (18 years) the effect size of having had an additional year of education was 2.154 IQ points, whereas at the oldest age (83 years) the effect size was 0.485 IQ points. This effect was smaller but still significant if the largest effect size (> 3 IQ points for an additional year) was excluded (−0.011 IQ points per year of age, SE = 0.005, p =.018). There was no significant moderating effect of age at outcome for the policy-change studies (0.014 IQ points per year, SE = 0.022, p =.543): The effect at the youngest age (18 years; 1.690 IQ points) was not significantly different from the effect at the oldest age (71 years; 2.413 IQ points). There was comparatively little variation in the age at the outcome test for the school-age- cutoff design (SD = 1.6 years; see Table 1); there was no significant age moderation effect (−0.027 points per year, SE = 0.399, p =.947)….”

“…. For the policy-change design, we tested whether the age at which the educational policy change produced an increment in compulsory schooling moderated the intervention effect. This was not the case: The effect size increased by a nonsignificant 0.038 IQ points per year of age at the intervention (SE = 0.228, p =.867). The meta-regression model implied that at the youngest intervention age (7.5 years), the effect size was 1.765 IQ points, and at the oldest (19 years) it was 2.204 IQ points….”

Age at outcome test.

“…For the control-prior-intelligence design, we tested whether the age at which the participants had taken the initial (control) cognitive test, or the gap between this early test and the outcome test, moderated the effect size. The age at the early test, which did not vary substantially (see Table 1) was not significantly related to the effect size (−0.024 IQ points per year, SE = 0.064, p =.706). For the youngest early-test age (10 years), the meta-regression model indicated that the effect size of 1 additional year of education was 1.243 IQ points; for the oldest (16 years), the effect size was 1.099 IQ points. Conversely, the time lag between the tests was a significant moderator of the effect size (−0.031 IQ points per year, SE = 0.015, p =.033). This meta-regression indicated that at the smallest age gap (5 years), the effect size was 2.398 IQ points, whereas for the largest age gap (72.44 years), the effect size was a substantially smaller 0.317 IQ points. Note that this age gap is almost fully confounded with the age at the out- come test (r =.988), assessed as a moderator below….”

Age at intervention.

Age at early test and time lag between tests.

“…We analyzed results from the three most prominent quasi-experimental methods for testing the effects of education on intelligence. We defined intelligence as the score on a cognitive test; see below for consideration of how the test scores might relate to the underlying psychological processes. Each method implements a different approach to minimize effects stemming from selection processes. Full meta-analytic inclusion criteria are reported below, but first we describe each of the three designs, providing a canonical example of each..…. The first research design, which we label control prior intelligence, is a longitudinal study in which cognitive testing data are collected before and after variation in the duration of education. This allows the relation between education and the second test to be adjusted for by each participant’s earlier ability level. An example of this design is the study by Clouston et al. (2012), who analyzed data from three large U.S. and UK cohort studies, all of which had both an adolescent and a midlife cognitive test. Results indicated that completing a university education was linked to higher midlife cognitive ability, above and beyond adolescent intelligence….…The second design, policy change, relies on changes in educational duration that are, by all accounts, exogenous to the characteristics of the individuals. An example of this design is the study by Brinch and Galloway (2012), who used large-scale data from a 1960s educational reform in Norway. This reform increased compulsory education by 2 years; critically, it was staggered across municipalities in the country. This allowed the researchers to estimate the effect of an additional year of school on a later intelligence test, taken by males at entry to military service as part of Norway’s universal military draft. Under the assumption that the policy change affected intelligence only via increasing years of schooling, the authors used an instrumental-variables analysis to estimate the effect of 1 year of schooling on intelligence at approximately 3.7 points on a standard IQ scale (M = 100, SD = 15 in the population)….…The third design takes advantage of a school-age cutoff. These studies use regression-discontinuity analysis to leverage the fact that school districts implement a date-of-birth cutoff for school entry. The first study to use this method was by Baltes and Reinert (1969), but the most highly cited example is by Cahan and Cohen (1989), who, in a sample of over 12,000 children across three grades of the Israeli school system (between the ages of approximately 10-12 years), found that schooling exerted positive effects on all of 12 tests covering a variety of cognitive domains. These educational effects were around twice the effect of a year of age. The strict assumptions of this method are some- times not fully met (Cliffordson, 2010); methodological issues are discussed in more detail below….”

Their Evidence

“…In three separate unconditional random-effects meta- analytic models (one for each study design), we estimated the effect of 1 additional year of education on cognitive outcomes. For all three study designs, there was a significant effect of 1 additional year of education. For control prior intelligence, the effect was 1.197 IQ points (SE = 0.203, p = 3.84×10−09); for policy change, it was 2.056 IQ points (SE = 0.583, p = 4.23×10−04); and for school-age cutoff, it was 5.229 IQ points (SE = 0.530, p = 6.33×10−23). An overall model including all estimates from all three designs found an average effect size of 3.394 IQ points for 1 year of education (SE = 0.503, p = 1.55×10−11)….”

Types of Studies They Looked At

  • Test Scores
  • Comparisons
    • Skill Level
  • Science
    • Evolution/Heredity
  • Workforce
    • Education

Tuesday, July 12, 2022

Cognitive and academic benefits of music training with children: A multilevel meta-analysis

AI Summary. A multilevel meta-analysis of 254 studies with 6,984 participants finds music training does not significantly improve children's cognitive skills or academic performance, with an overall effect size near zero. The authors attribute apparent benefits to study design weaknesses such as the absence of random allocation and active control groups.

Giovanni Sala Memory & Cognition
Date Posted:
July 12, 2022
Is Database:
Database

Music training cognitive benefits debunked: Meta-analysis (n=6,984, 254 studies) shows zero effect size. Perceived gains (g=0.200) stem from study design flaws, not actual cognitive enhancement.

Does music training improve children's cognitive skills and academic performance?

Core argument: A multilevel meta-analysis of 254 studies covering 6,984 participants finds an overall effect size of about 0 for music training on children's cognitive skills and academic performance.

A comprehensive meta-analysis involving 6,984 participants across 254 studies reveals that music training does not significantly enhance cognitive skills or academic performance, with an overall effect size of 𝑔̅ ≈ 0. The analysis shows that any perceived benefits are largely due to study design flaws, such as lack of random allocation and non-active controls, which inflate effect sizes to 𝑔̅ ≈ 0.200. Bayesian analyses confirm these findings, indicating that music training's impact is negligible across various outcome measures, participant ages, and training durations. The study underscores that optimism about music training's cognitive benefits is empirically unfounded, highlighting the need for rigorous experimental designs in future research.

Takeaways by Macro Roundup® AI

  1. A multilevel meta-analysis of 254 studies covering 6,984 participants finds an overall effect size of about 0 for music training on children's cognitive skills and academic performance.
  2. Studies lacking random allocation and using non-active control groups inflate the estimated benefit of music training to an effect size of about 0.200, according to the meta-analysis.
  3. Bayesian analyses in the meta-analysis indicate music training's impact is negligible across outcome measures, participant ages, and training durations, and the authors call for more rigorous experimental designs.

Core of paper, “…Music training has repeatedly been claimed to positively impact children’s cognitive skills and academic achievement (literacy and mathematics). This claim relies on the assumption that engaging in intellectually demanding activities fosters particular domain- general cognitive skills, or even general intelligence. The present meta-analytic review (N = 6,984, k = 254, m = 54) shows that this belief is incorrect. Once the quality of study design is controlled for, the overall effect of music training programs is null (𝑔̅≈ 0) and highly consistent across studies (τ2 ≈ 0). Results of Bayesian analyses employing distributional assumptions (informative priors) derived from previous research in cognitive training corroborate these conclusions. Small statistically significant overall effects are obtained only in those studies implementing no random allocation of participants and employing non-active controls (𝑔̅≈ 0.200, p <.001). Interestingly, music training is ineffective regardless of the type of outcome measure (e.g., verbal, non-verbal, speed-related, etc.), participants’ age, and duration of training. Furthermore, we note that, beyond meta-analysis of experimental studies, a considerable amount of cross-sectional evidence indicates that engagement in music has no impact on people’s non-music cognitive skills or academic achievement. We conclude that researchers’ optimism about the benefits of music training is empirically unjustified and stems from misinterpretation of the empirical data and, possibly, confirmation bias…”

Supporting Evidence

“…This meta-analysis - which includes 38 studies, 118 effect sizes, and 3,085 participants - found an overall effect of𝑑̅= 0.16. It also highlighted that the impact of music training on cognitive skills and academic performance was a function of the quality of the study’s experimental design. Specifically, the magnitude of the music-induced effects was significantly smaller (around zero) in those studies implementing active controls and random allocation of the participants to groups….”

“…The overall effect size of the RVE intercept model was𝑔̅= 0.184, SE = 0.041, 95% CI, m = 54, k = 254, df = 38.36, p <.001, τ2 = 0.041, I2 = 43.16%. Different values of within-study effect-size correlation (ρ) did not significantly affect the results (𝑔̅range 0.184- 0.185, τ2 = 0.041). The random-effect (RE) model (with Cheung & Chan’s correction) yielded very similar estimates:𝑔̅= 0.176, SE = 0.037, p <.001, τ2 = 0.033. Overall, the results showed a small and moderately heterogeneous overall effect of music training on cognitive and academic outcomes. The results were not affected by modeling choices (i.e., ρ values and procedure for modeling nested data)…. Baseline difference and Type of controls were the only two statistically significant moderators (p =.031 and p =.035, respectively) and accounted for part of the true heterogeneity (τ2 = 0.038, I2 = 34.87%). Age was not significant (p =.403), neither was Allocation (p =.518). No significant differences were found across the four broad groups of outcome measures (all ps ≥.624; Holm’s correction for multiple comparisons), nor across the more fine-grained categorization (eight levels, all ps ≥.362), and there was no difference between cognitive skills and measures of academic achievement (p =.981). Duration of training was not significant either (p =.266, p =.952, and p =.662 for hours, weeks, and sessions, respectively).

Cognitive and academic benefits of music training with children: A multilevel meta-analysis: Extended Excerpt Image 1

Giovanni Sala and Fernand Gobet, "Cognitive and academic benefits of music training with children: A multilevel meta-analysis,"Memory & Cognition, July 29, 2020, https://link.springer.com/article/10.3758/s13421-020-01060-2

  • Evolution/Heredity
  • Science
  • Workforce
    • Education
      • Test Scores


Loading More Posts

End of content

No more pages to load

© Copyright 2026 Coherent Research Institute · All Rights Reserved · Privacy · Terms