A recent study shows a prediction market is a better predictor of scientific reproducibility than the editors of the journals Nature and Science (who have only a 62% chance of accurately identifying reproducibility). Telltale signs of irreproducibility include newsworthy results. "Consider the new results from the Social Sciences Replication Project, in which 24 researchers attempted to replicate social-science studies published between 2010 and 2015 in Nature and ... Read More
Two More Studies Find Shocking Inability to Replicate Economic Research
The Economist reports on two more studies that find a shocking inability to replicate economic research: A recent examination in the Economic Journal, of almost 7,000 empirical economics studies, found that in half of the areas of research, nearly 90% of those studies were underpowered, i.e., that they used samples too small to judge whether a particular effect was really there. Of the studies that avoided this pitfall, 80% were found to have exaggerated the reported ... Read More
