Aswath Damodaran finds the equity premium has risen to 6%—in the top decile historically. He estimates shocks from 2 of the following have already been priced in: • Slower growth • Political/economic crisis • Higher interest rates • ... Read More
Krugman’s Misleading Scandinavian Comparison
Paul Krugman wrote a misleading post comparing U.S. wages and productivity growth to Scandinavia without admitting that Scandinavia’s test scores are much higher than America’s. Comparing Scandinavia to Scandinavian-Americans instead of to Americans more broadly is a simple way to factor out the benefit of higher Scandinavian test scores. (If anything, Scandinavians with lower socioeconomic status immigrated to America.) On average, Scandinavian-Americans earn ... Read More
With $3-an-hour Mexican Labor, Why Should Capital Flow to Rural America?
With $3-an-hour Mexican labor, why should capital flow to rural America? Can rural America achieve the productivity needed to sustain high wages unless it exports labor to urban America? It doesn’t seem likely. ... Read More
